A frontal boundary over the Southeastern U.S. combined with an area of high pressure to our south will result in a southwesterly flow over the Bay area on Sunday. With enough moisture in the atmosphere, and good daytime heating, we will see early afternoon storms fire up along the west coast seabreeze. The storms that do develop will push east and mainly target inland areas. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies and high temps ranging from the upper 80's at the coast..to the low and mid 90's inland.
Right now the tropics remain fairly quiet as we continue to watch the remnants of T.D. #7 moving across the Caribbean and a broad area of low pressure west of the Cape Verde Islands. The area of low pressure in the far eastern Atlantic is not expected to develop into a tropical system in the next few days as it moves west over relatively cool ocean waters.
It will be a humid weekend with the chance of showers and a few thunderstorms the next two days. Today look for afternoon storms to be inland east of I-75 today. Moisture will increase with S to SW winds. As the sea breeze moves inland. A 30% chance of rain develops away from the coast.
Overnight storms fade by 9 pm and patchy fog may develop inland.
Sunday could see an earlier start to showers especially along the Nature Coast. A cold front presses south which would give areas near the beaches a better chance of rain Mother's Day. 40% chance of afternoons storms flaring up Sunday. Only an isolated shower is expected Sunday night as the front passes and then we dry out.
Next week will start out breezy Monday with cooler less humid air through Tuesday behind the front.
We are going to see more storms during the afternoon the next couple days but most of the pop up storms will be from I-75 and east. Sea breezes will trigger 30% late day and evening thunderstorms Saturday. Sunday rain chances get bumped up a bit as a cold front moves in by the evening.
This front will result in lower 80s Monday and a break in the humidity next week. No rain is expected through Friday.
It will be another dry day with mostly sunny skies at the beach and partly cloudy conditions inland. No rain is in the forecast until the weekend. At best we could see a few non-severe pop up storms late Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be warming into the mid 80's and mid to low 60's at night.
A front will push into the Bay area Sunday evening triggering a 30% chance of rain. Dry air moves in from the north Monday cutting off rain chances north of Tampa but a few showers could develop south of Tampa Bay during the day into Monday. Slightly less humid weather is expected next week.
We will see a gradually warming pattern the next few days with the air getting a bit more humid. Afternoon sea breezes develop with a fair weather cloud field developing in the afternoons inland.
By the weekend a few showers and storms will develop mostly inland. A front will push in Sunday evening resulting in a 30% chance of rain. Drier air slides in Monday from Tampa northward.
A narrow band of clouds will be pushing into Tampa this evening with a small chance of sprinkles mostly from Hillsborough county and northward. Most of the light rain has fallen apart and we should stay rain free through the end of the week.
Temperatures have been below normal lately and we are expecting another cool night with some areas dropping into the 50's and low 60's this evening. Skies will be partly cloudy without much humidity.
We will see a warm up the next several days with highs into the low 80's Wednesday and getting back into the mid 80's Thursday. It gets more sticky by the weekend and we could see a few showers Sunday and Monday. Saturday an isolated shower may develop over the Nature Coast.
Rain fades away today with only a 20% chance of rain along the Nature Coast. The sky will be partly cloudy over Tampa with sunnier skies south of Tampa Bay. Mostly cloudy weather in Hernando county will be due to a low on the east coast pushing clouds and a few isolated showers into Brooksville and northward.
A front passes lat tonight with lower humidity for Sunday and sunny skies. A sondond front may cause an isolated sunrise shower Monday morning with dry and cooler weather next week.
Storms over the next couple hours will focus east of I-75 and drift slowly eastward. The rain will die down after sunset with only a 20% chance of rain overnight.
The pattern will be drying out this weekend. The morning will start out with areas of fog and a few coastal showers from Tarpon Springs northward then most of the rain will be afternoon activity over inland locations. Rain will be less likely in Sarasota and Bradenton.
Sunday will be dry with less humidity and mostly sunny weather. Low rain chances say with us next week.
Scattered showers will develop this evening with more heavier rain in Citrus & Hernando counties overnight. Cloudy skies and humid weather will last through Friday. A upper low will continue to keep rain chances high Friday with morning rain likely near the Nature Coast. Overnight we should have more clouds than rain south of Tampa.
Weak low pressure in the Gulf will cross the state and pull a front across Tampa Bay Saturday. Drier air will work into the area this weekend with decreasing showers confined into interior areas of Hillsborough, Pasco and Polk counties as westerly flow develops.
A group of thunderstorms is moving through and rain will continue before easing after 7 pm this evening. More rain will ramp up after midnight and showers will kick start the morning Thursday. We will be in this wet patter through the end of the week and it appears the rainy weather will last into the weekend.
A upper low over Louisiana is spitting out storm complexes from the Gulf which will continue to track into Florida. One is moving over the Suncoast this evening and another will pass early Thursday morning. The timing of rain will be marked by several more of these convective complexes over the next several days.
Meteorologist Mark Collins
Scattered storms will continue through the evening over mostly inland locations east of I-75 tonight. After sunset they should drift back to the coast as the sea breeze relaxes. Look for a dry Wednesday morning followed by late day and overnight rain over the Bay Area. Thursday may turn out to be the wettest with rain continuing Friday and into the weekend.
The wet pattern is being aided by a upper low over Louisiana. This is developing low pressure in the Gulf that opens the door to moisture flowing into our area. This should start to break down Saturday with less rain expected Sunday into next week.
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